\begin{table}
\centering
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\toprule
Outcome & Incumbent vote share &  &  & Losing probability (NELDA) &  &  \\ \cmidrule[lr]{1-1}\cmidrule[lr]{2-4}\cmidrule[lr]{5-7}
& Log & Granularity & Granularity & Log & Granularity & Granularity \\ \cmidrule[lr]{2-2}\cmidrule[lr]{3-3}\cmidrule[lr]{4-4}\cmidrule[lr]{5-5}\cmidrule[lr]{6-6}\cmidrule[lr]{7-7}
& (units) & (level) & (std) & (units) & (level) & (std) \\ \cmidrule[lr]{2-2}\cmidrule[lr]{3-3}\cmidrule[lr]{4-4}\cmidrule[lr]{5-5}\cmidrule[lr]{6-6}\cmidrule[lr]{7-7}
& (1) & (2) & (3) & (4) & (5) & (6) \\ \midrule %% TinyTableHeader
Granularity & -0.016*** & -0.088** & -0.079** & 0.025 & 0.157 & 0.092 \\
& (0.006) & (0.036) & (0.032) & (0.016) & (0.098) & (0.092) \\
Country-Election FE & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes \\
Granularity Est./Mean & 0.03 & 0.17 & 0.15 & 0.13 & 0.8 & 0.47 \\
No. Countries & 67 & 67 & 67 & 67 & 67 & 67 \\
Observations & 163 & 163 & 163 & 156 & 156 & 156 \\
Adj. R2 & 0.57 & 0.56 & 0.56 & -0.00 & -0.01 & -0.02 \\
\bottomrule
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\end{table}
